Millions of Temporary Residents in Canada Face Expiring Status in 2026
Canada is entering a period of significant adjustment in its immigration system. In 2026, more than two million temporary residents are expected to hold permits that have expired or will expire during the year. This reality has raised an important question for policymakers, employers, and newcomers alike: will everyone whose status expires actually leave Canada?
Many immigration professionals believe that assumption does not reflect the complexity of the situation on the ground.
Temporary Status Has Become the Long-Term Reality for Many
Over recent years, Canada has relied heavily on international students, temporary foreign workers, and other short-term residents to support its economy and labour market. Many of these individuals have lived in Canada for several years, completed Canadian education, gained skilled work experience, and established strong personal and professional ties.
However, as immigration targets tighten, the transition from temporary status to permanent residence has become increasingly competitive, leaving many people uncertain about their future in Canada.
The Numbers Behind the Uncertainty
According to Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC):
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Approximately 1.49 million temporary permits expired in 2025
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An additional 1.4 million permits are expected to expire in 2026
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This brings the total to nearly 2.9 million temporary residents over two years whose status has expired or will expire
These figures do not include study permit holders or study permit extensions.
During the same period, the number of permanent residence admissions has been far lower, meaning a significant gap exists between those seeking long-term status and the spaces available.
Permanent Residence Remains Limited
IRCC has indicated that:
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Roughly 395,000 permanent resident spots were available in 2025
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Approximately 380,000 admissions are planned for 2026
Even if every available spot were allocated to individuals already in Canada, a large number of temporary residents would still be left without permanent status.
IRCC has repeatedly emphasized that temporary status does not guarantee permanent residence and that individuals must leave Canada at the end of their authorized stay unless they obtain new status.
Why Expiring Status Does Not Always Mean Immediate Departure
While immigration rules are clear, experts caution that real-world outcomes are more complex. Many temporary residents have made significant financial and personal investments in Canada and may explore every legal option available before leaving.
Some may:
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Apply for work or study permit extensions
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Seek restoration of status within the allowed timeframe
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Pursue Provincial Nominee Programs or other PR pathways
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Improve language scores or gain additional work experience to increase eligibility
At the same time, there is concern that limited options may push some individuals into vulnerable situations if they delay action or misunderstand their legal obligations.
Canada’s Policy Direction: Fewer Temporary Residents
Under the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, the federal government has stated its intention to:
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Reduce the proportion of temporary residents to below 5% of Canada’s population by 2027
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Maintain permanent resident admissions at less than 1% of the population after 2027
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Restore balance and sustainability to the immigration system
These changes signal a shift toward tighter controls, which may further limit transition opportunities for those currently holding temporary status.
Rising Demand for Immigration Advice
Across the country, immigration professionals are reporting increased demand from temporary residents seeking clarity about their options. Many are approaching consultations with only weeks or months remaining on their permits and are looking for lawful strategies to maintain or change their status.
Early planning has become critical, as last-minute options are often limited.
Looking Ahead
The assumption that all temporary residents with expiring permits will leave Canada oversimplifies a complex issue. While compliance with immigration law is mandatory, the scale of expiring status presents legal, administrative, and human challenges for both individuals and the system.
For temporary residents, understanding available options — and timelines — is essential.
To receive personalized guidance, you can book a consultation with our regulated immigration professional to discuss your options and next steps.
